The European Commission’s Autumn 2025 Economic Forecast shows that growth in the first three quarters of 2025 outperformed expectations. While the strong performance was initially driven by a surge in exports in anticipation of tariff increases, the EU economy continued to grow in the third quarter. Looking ahead, economic activity is expected to continue expanding at a moderate pace over […]
Spring 2024 Economic forecast for Spain
Economic activity in Spain is expected to grow at 2.1% in 2024 and 1.9% in 2025 driven by domestic demand and sustained by continued labour market resilience. The implementation of the Recovery and Resilience Plan (RRP) is set to underpin investment growth over the forecast horizon. Headline inflation is projected to maintain its downward trend […]
Winter Economic forecast 2024 for Spain
The Spanish economy is estimated to have expanded by 2.5% in 2023, marginally above what was projected in autumn, with preliminary data for the fourth quarter pointing to an acceleration (0.6% q-o-q) compared to the third quarter. Private consumption and, to a lesser extent, investment were the key drivers of GDP growth throughout 2023. External […]
Spring Economic forecast for Spain
Following strong expansion in 2022, economic activity is expected to slow down in 2023. Labour market resilience and the implementation of the Recovery and Resilience Plan (RRP) are set to sustain growth, which is forecast to accelerate further in 2024. Headline inflation is projected to moderate on the back of to lower energy prices. The […]
European Union publishes winter economic forecast for 2023
Almost one year after Russia launched its war of aggression against Ukraine, the EU economy entered 2023 on a better footing than projected in autumn. The Winter interim Forecast lifts the growth outlook for this year to 0.8% in the EU and 0.9% in the euro area. Both areas are now set to narrowly avoid […]
Autumn 2022 Economic Forecast: The EU economy at a turning point
After a strong first half of the year, the EU economy has now entered a much more challenging phase. The shocks unleashed by Russia’s war of aggression against Ukraine are denting global demand and reinforcing global inflationary pressures. The EU is among the most exposed advanced economies, due to its geographical proximity to the war […]
Spring economic forecasts: Spain is expected to be the fourth fastest-growing economy in the EU
The outlook for the EU economy before the outbreak of the war was for a prolonged and robust expansion. But Russia’s invasion of Ukraine has posed new challenges, just as the Union had recovered from the economic impacts of the pandemic. By exerting further upward pressures on commodity prices, causing renewed supply disruptions and increasing […]
Summer 2020 Economic Forecast
The EU economy will experience a deep recession this year due to the coronavirus pandemic, despite the swift and comprehensive policy response at both EU and national levels. Because the lifting of lockdown measures is proceeding at a more gradual pace than assumed in our Spring Forecast, the impact on economic activity in 2020 will […]
Winter 2020 Economic Forecast: Offsetting forces confirm subdued growth
The Winter 2020 Economic Forecast published projects that the European economy is set to continue on a path of steady, moderate growth. The euro area has now enjoyed its longest period of sustained growth since the euro was introduced in 1999. The forecast projects that euro area gross domestic product (GDP) growth will remain stable […]